Climate impact research or disaster management operate in the field of plausible futures. They work with parameters that enable the creation of scenarios, which can work as base for decision making and political discussion. Instead of trying to predict by asking „what is most likely“ (Forecasts, polls, trend research) they aim to create an array of possibilities by asking „what if“. (Graphic adapted from Dunne & Reaby, Speculative Everything, 2013)
Design fiction is a tool to explore unknown futures but also a method to playfully navigate through these unfamiliar fields of research (Climate impact research, plant science, technology metatrends)
By balancing between factional and fictional world, design fiction enables reflection and criticism. It should be not too close but also not to far from our daily life experience, other wise we encounter the field of fantasy and science fiction.
For each scenario we created a world model that provided the rules for the fiction.
Concept & Design: Katja Budinger
A Masterthesis at the FH Potsdam, 2017 (Reviewed by Prof. Frank Heidmann & Prof. Boris Müller)
Scenarios based on SSPs. Source: O’Neill, B. C., Kriegler, E., Ebi, K. L., Kemp-Benedict, E., Riahi, K., Rothman, D. S., ... & Levy, M. (2015).
The roads ahead: narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change.